Friday, January 20, 2012

Dot-com Bubble (1995-2000)


What is The Dot Com Bubble?

Let's break the wordings and look at them separately. Dot Com (.com) refers to the domain name of a website. Eg: (www.google.com; www.youtube.com; www.facebook.com) "com" however literally means  'commercial'. That means it's a commercial website. Although there are a large variety of such domain names (Eg: .edu; .info; .gov; .net) the websites/the internet is generally referred to as the 'dot com' world. 

Then what is a 'Bubble'?

A bubble is a false or unexpected or unnatural surge of equity prices mainly due to high levels of speculation. It causes huge uprising in price levels of stocks without proper fundamental backing. So naturally the bubble will burst at some point and the whole market will collapse.


So The Dot Com Bubble was a similar situation that occurred during 1990s (1995-2000 to be specific) surrounding the highly speculated growth of the Internet. 

Investors have invested massively in Internet based companies with high levels of speculations about their growth in the years to come. 

During the mid-to-late 1990s, Cisco Systems, Dell, Intel, and Microsoft were known as "the Four Horsemen of the NASDAQ" because of their dominant market capitalizations. As the bursting of the Internet bubble approached, Cisco Systems, EMC, Sun Microsystems, and Oracle were known as "the Four Horsemen of the Internet."

During this period many companies were setup with the "e-" (i.e. Internet based) in their business names. Such companies witnessed sky rocketing stock prices. Low interest rates during the period has helped acquisition of more and more capital thus more and more investments. 

According to dot-com theory, an Internet company's survival hung on expanding its customer base as quickly as possible, even if it incurred heavy annual losses. For instance, Google and Amazon did not see any profit in their first years. Amazon was spending on expanding customer base and alerting people to its existence and Google was busy spending on creating more powerful machine capacity to serve its expanding search engine. The phrase "Get large or get lost" was the wisdom of the day.


The Bubble Bursts...

During later 1999 and early 2000, the US Federal Reserves had taken steps to increase the interest rates by nearly 6 times. This affected the pace of the economy and started to loose pace. On 10th March 2000, the NASDAQ composite index peaked at peaked at 5,048.62 (intra-day peak 5,132.52), more than double the value it had just a year back. It shows how fast the bubble had grown. The NASDAQ dropped slightly after that, but this was attributed to correction by most market analysts; the actual reversal and subsequent bear market may have been triggered by the adverse findings of fact in the United States v. Microsoft case which was being heard in federal court. The findings, which declared Microsoft a monopoly, were widely expected in the weeks before their release on April 3. The following day, April 4, the NASDAQ fell from 4,283 points to 3,649 and rebounded back to 4,223, forming an intraday chart that looked like a stretched V.


By 20th March 2000, the NASDAQ had lost almost 10% from it's peak in 10th March 2000. 

After the burst of the bubble many Dot Com companies went bankrupt due to financial burdens. Such companies are  'WorldCom', 'NorthPoint Communications', 'Global Crossing', 'JDS Uniphase', 'XO Communications', and 'Covad Communications'. 

But a few finacially sound companies emerged as giants in the Dot Com industry after the bubble. They are 'Amazon.com', 'eBay' and 'Google'. 


References: Wikipedia
                       : Investopedia


Saturday, January 7, 2012

Short Selling - Dealing with Downturn markets..


The world economy is trekking down a rough road. Production is plummeting, agriculture is highly uncertain and services are rising rapidly. So this has affected the Stock markets around the world, obviously. Many markets are experiencing Bearish trends. Keep aside the Bearish markets; are your stocks going down? have you made the wrong decision? Then Short Selling is probably the answer you're looking for. Now that I have your attention, let's dig in deep.


What is Short Selling?

As investors we know how to scrape profits out of the Stock markets. Buy a share at a low/er price hold it till the price rises and sell at a predetermined profit. This is the foundation of stock trading. But what can we do in a down turned market? Well, Short Selling says we can still make profits in a down turned market. 

Short Selling is exactly the opposite of what we discussed above. In simple it's a trading strategy to make profits when a specific stock is decreasing in it's value or going down. 


Long or Short?

When an investor invests in a share expecting the prices to increase in the future, it's known as investing for Long. On the other hand when an investor invests in a share expecting the prices to decrease in the future, it's known as investing for Short. Hence the word play Short Selling is derived. 


The Process... How to Short Sell?

When an investor needs to Short Sell, his broker will lend the specific stocks to him. The stocks may be owned by the broker or another investor of the broker. It doesn;t matter since it's only lending. Then the investor can sell the stocks at the prevailing price. The amount will be credited to his account as usual. However the investor must buy the Shorted stocks again, that's only when the Shorting will be complete. So after some time, when the stock prices have gone further down, the investor can bu back the stocks he sold previously. 

Even though the prices of the stock is going down, the investor sold the lent stocks at a higher price than the price he bought again. Thus the difference being the profit from the overall transaction. Look at the following image for a better understanding.





Risks associated with Short Selling..

Share price movements

Short Selling can only be done if the prices of the share is dropping. If by chance, the share prices increase from the point where you lent them, you'll only end up making losses. Because you have to buy them back at a higher price than what you sold them for.

Margin Trading

Stock Shorting is done on borrowed money. That means money lent from your broker. This has significant risks as we have discussed in previous articles. 

Timing is everything..

This is not particularly a risk related to Short Selling only. However the investor will have to be extra vigilant about the movement of the prices to buy them back at the lowest price possible to maximize the profits. 


Conclusion:

Short Selling is a process that could help an investor in uncertain or Bearish markets. Use the knowledge with care and you'll be able to squeeze profits out of almost all the market conditions.

Happy Trading!!!


Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Online Stock Trading



What is Online Trading?

This is the latest trend in Stock trading, where share transactions are done via your computer connected to the Internet and your stock broker. 

Online trading will give the investor immense freedom, to do whatever he wants with the money he has invested. Most brokers provide this sort of facility and with some knowledge on the Stock market, one can do his own trading and be a self-made millionaire. 


How is it done?

Today almost all the brokering firms are willing to provide online trading facilities to their investors. For them it could reduce their work load and also take off the risk of managing the portfolio. However for a keen investor Online Trading can be of alot useful. 

When requested for the Online trading facility from your stock broker, they will provide you with a software to access the stock market via the broker. The most used software and the best software for this would be DirectFN Pro. It provides real-time access to the market and hence ideal for Day Trading purposes as well. DirectFN provides real time charts, graphs and many technical analysis tools. So it can be identified as an all-in-one tool for stock trading. For more information visit DirectFN.com

Another massively useful software fro Technical Analysis. It specializes on providing the best Technical analysis tools to make a better decision in trading stocks. For more information and screenshots visit here.

The above mentioned sorftware can be freely downloaded from the links given below.
Happy Trading.

To download DirectFN Pro click HERE.
To download AmiBroker 5.3 click HERE.
To download AmiBroker 5.3 Crack click HERE.

Saturday, November 26, 2011

Share Certificate and Scripless Securities Settlement System



Share Certificate

Share Certificate or also known as Stock Certificate is a legal document issued by the stock market regulator or the Central Depository System (CDS) to prove the ownership of shares/stocks of a company with an individual. 

A Share Certificate usually indicated the company name of the shares purchased, the number of shares purchased, at what rate, the total value of the investment and relevant signatures.

However in the modern business world, the place of Share Certificates is diminishing and in some countries, have already ceased to existence. Today large volumes of shares are being traded and in very frequent terms. In such situations issuing Share Certificates is both nonviable and unnecessary. The trades may occur as frequent as many times in a single day, so issuing a Share Certificate is an impossibility. 



Scripless Securities Settlement System (SSSS)

SSSS is a system introduced by many countries to ease the settlement of stock trades without the use of Share Certificates. So despite issuing a paper Share Certificate the SSSS keeps electronic records of the ownership of shares and automatically updated in real time as and when a stock trade occurs. This system has greatly enabled the stock market regulators to cut down on costs relating to issue of Share Certificates and also to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of transactions occurring withing the stock market.


Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Securities and Exchange Commission

What is Securities and Exchange Commission?

Often referred to as 'SEC', Securities and Exchange Commission of a country is the primary authoritative body for regulating the 'Securities' market. It's an affiliation of the respective country's government, to design and enforce rules and regulations, monitor the Securities market and implement necessary changes. 

The SEC is incorporated under the Section 4 of the Securities Act of 1934.

SEC is responsible for monitoring over the Stock market/Share market, Treasury Bonds, Treasury Bills, Bank-Notes, Forward Contracts, Futures, Debentures, Foreign Exchange Market (FOREX) etc.


Related Websites:

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Forced Selling


What is Forced Selling?

Forced Selling is simply; where your broker, on his own will, sell stocks that belong to you. Yes, that's the process. But there's a story behind it. 

Forced Selling can only occur if you, the investor, buys stocks on broker credit. That means you decide to invest in stocks worth more than what you have actually invested in the stock market by yourself. The broker will usually provide a credit limit up to 50% of your total investment, but this can hugely vary form stock market to another. The next part is settlement of the credit. It's a very short term loan, so it must be paid back. Usually the brokers provide the investor around 3 days (T+3) to settle the credit, but some stock markets may extend this date up to T+5 (5 days). 

So when the settlement date arrives, the investor should have enough money or liquid cash in his portfolio to pay back the broker. The investor could either willingly sell all or portion of his portfolio sufficient to cover the credit or settle the credit with cash directly. But settling with cash seems unlikely since you're already trading on credit. We could opt. to sell our stocks and settle the credit, if the stocks had made us our intended profits. But if the stocks have crumbled, we wouldn't want to sell them. This is where Forced Selling comes. 

If the available credit isn't settled as of the time limit allowed, your broker will have all the powers to sell any portion of your portfolio up to an amount sufficient to cover the credit. This is called Forced Selling, as you are forced to sell your investments to settle the credit. This is a fully legal process and the investor cannot do anything to stop it or take any legal action against it. 

We can understand that this will mostly affect the traders rather than investors. Investors concentrate on the long term and the broker credit facilitates credit up to maximum 5 days only. So traders are the ones who usually get the worst out of this.

This is just another reason why most investment advisers ask the investors not to trade on credit. Unless you are 200% sure of what you're doing, my advice is, don't go for broker credits.    

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Insider Trading

Legal or Illegal?

It's both. There are two forms of Insider Trading. One legal and the other not. In general Insider Trading is the dealings (buying and selling) of stocks/shares of a company by people relating to the company, for an example, directors, officers, employees and large share holders. However if this is done in full disclosure it is considered legal. On the other hand it is illegal to engage in trading of a share for the above mentioned parties based on material and undisclosed/non-public information. This is considered unfair or unethical to those traders who  doesn't have possession of such information.


Who is an 'Insider'?

An Insider is identified as a person/party who has access to important information about the company that could affect the share prices of the company directly or indirectly or that might affect investor decisions at large. These kind of information is known as 'Material Information'.

So in general, the CEO, the Managing Director/s, the members of the Board of Directors, employees, other officers, brokers and even family members of related people can be found guilty of Insider Trading. Any 'tipping off' of any information by and to such parties could be found guilty. 


If found guilty;

If found guilty of Insider trading, the Insider will have to return all the profits he/she made from the Insider trade or this may extend up to three times the profit earned form the trade. Beyond this Laws are being strengthened to increase the penalties for Insider Trading. As of now stock defrauding can extend to a penalty up to 10 years of imprisonment. 


For more information :