Averaging

What is Averaging?

We used to 'average' in our mathematics lessons when we were small. Remember? Well this is basically the same thing. You take two prices, add them together and divide by two (since we took only two prices). That's what averaging is.

What's the big deal?

Well, averaging may seem easy. And yes, it is. But it's implications are what that counts. As we may understand averaging is used to bring the 'average cost' of a stock down. This is called 'Averaging Down'. (there's nothing called averaging up OK?). Say we buy 100 shares at $10, the total cost would be $1000 right? So the average cost per share would be again $10 (1000/100). Say now the prices of this particular stock is going down. Alas! So we see this as an opportunity to bring our average cost down. This is how it's done. Say the price goes down to $8, we buy another 100 shares at a total cost of $800. So we add up both the investments; that would total up to $1800 ($1000+$800).  So if we calculate the average cost per share it would come to $9 (1800/200). Seems pretty good huh? Well that depends. Read further and find out why.

Good Move or BAD Move?

This is a very controversial part of the investment process. In a quick glance, reducing the average cost of a share seems the wisest thing to do. But most experts absolutely PROHIBIT to do this. Of course there are reasonable reasons. The main argument against averaging down is that you're continuously investing or blocking money on a failing stock. The more the price goes down the longer it will take to recover, so actually you'd be stuck with a bunch of loss shares till it bounces back. Positive side is that when the stock price starts to climb again, averaged down stock would have a lower break-even point. That is a lower point from where anything above that point is profits. That has a magnifying effect on profits. And on the downside, if the prices continue to dip further, that too tends to have a magnifying effect of losses. 

Should you do it?

This is not really a question I could answer for you. You should be the overlord of your investment portfolio. However for Investors, averaging down doesn't make any sense at all. Investors look at the long term and a sudden dip in the price wouldn't affect their decisions. For a trader, who looks at the short term, this could be vital. At the end of the day it all comes down to risk management. The higher the rick higher the gain. But that doesn't mean you should burn your fingers in hot water either.